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ubs raises dollar zloty forecast amid potential trump presidency challenges

UBS has raised its USD/PLN forecast, predicting an increase to 4.35 by Q1 2025, influenced by potential challenges from Donald Trump's second presidency and contrasting economic data from the US and Europe. Poland's GDP growth is expected to reach 3.5% in 2025, supported by EU funds, while the upcoming presidential election could significantly impact the zloty, depending on the outcome. The Federal Reserve's rate decisions and US trade policies may also affect the dollar's strength in the near future.

ubs raises dollar zloty forecast amid potential trump presidency impact

UBS has raised its USD/PLN forecast, anticipating a rise to 4.35 in Q1 2025 due to potential challenges from a possible second Trump presidency, strong US economic data, and weak European figures. Poland's GDP growth is projected at 3% in 2024, accelerating to 3.5% in 2025, supported by EU funding, while the budget deficit remains a concern. The outcome of the upcoming presidential election could significantly impact the zloty, with differing implications based on the candidates' success.

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